Weighted Decision Matrix & Pugh Trade-Off Scorecard
Date: ________________ · DRI: ________________Decision Statement & Deadline
Reversibility (Bezos Filter)☐ Type 2 (Reversible · 70% Info)
☐ Type 1 (One-Way · 90% Info)
☐ Type 1 (One-Way · 90% Info)
Scoring Rule (Kahneman)Score row-by-row across options to prevent halo-effect bias
| Evaluation Criterion | Weight (1–5) | Option A: ____________ (Raw 1–10 × Wt = Score) | Option B: ____________ (Raw 1–10 × Wt = Score) | Option C / Baseline: _____ (Raw 1–10 × Wt = Score) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. Strategic Impact & Goal Fit | × ____ | ____ × ____ = ____ | ____ × ____ = ____ | ____ × ____ = ____ |
| 2. Execution Speed & Simplicity | × ____ | ____ × ____ = ____ | ____ × ____ = ____ | ____ × ____ = ____ |
| 3. Financial ROI / Total Cost | × ____ | ____ × ____ = ____ | ____ × ____ = ____ | ____ × ____ = ____ |
| 4. Downside Risk & Reversibility | × ____ | ____ × ____ = ____ | ____ × ____ = ____ | ____ × ____ = ____ |
| 5. Team Bandwidth / Dependencies | × ____ | ____ × ____ = ____ | ____ × ____ = ____ | ____ × ____ = ____ |
| 6. Long-Term Compounding Moat | × ____ | ____ × ____ = ____ | ____ × ____ = ____ | ____ × ____ = ____ |
| TOTAL WEIGHTED SCORE | ΣW = ____ | Total A: ______ pts | Total B: ______ pts | Total C: ______ pts |
Gary Klein Pre-Mortem (“It is 6 months later and the winner failed – why?”)1. Primary failure mode:
2. Second-order risk:
2. Second-order risk:
Tripwire / Kill Criterion & Final Sign-OffWinning Option: ________________ · Margin: +____ pts
Kill / Pivot Trigger Date & Metric:
Status: ☐ Locked & Disagreed/Committed ☐ Needs 24 h Data
Kill / Pivot Trigger Date & Metric:
Status: ☐ Locked & Disagreed/Committed ☐ Needs 24 h Data